Tuesday, July 7, 2015

Eur/Usd : Triangle wave X?

There's a possibility for a triangle count for wave (X) as shown in the chart below. Should price break the wave a of the triangle low, wave (X) will finish just a bit lower. Yet another possibility is that wave (X) is already finished and this price action is part of wave (Y). 3 possibilities all have in common that price is near a bottom. On a side note, the chart has a different look because i have made it at tradingview.com, you can find me there under the name jdemunter.

Saturday, May 30, 2015

Eur/Usd : Here come the bulls

In the last update i was looking for a decline, price went a little higher first but declined anyway. This decline was in 3 waves which look finished now. I am now once again looking for a rally. I would also like to point out the weekly candle is a hammer which lays on the 61.8% fibonacci retracement from the entire rally from the february low. I labelled the rally as a wave W and the decline as a wave X because price action from the wave X low is corrective, the rally will be wave Y in a complex double 3. As for alternative counts, wave X could extend further or become a triangle.

Sunday, May 3, 2015

Eur/Usd : When will the uptrend resume

The alternative count from the last update proved to be the correct count (wave W). What followed could be considered a triangle but wave A of this triangle wave X is very large compared to the rest of the waves inside this triangle. I think the important thing to watch is the resistance around 1.10 which was broken last week. If the count presented is correct, expect a retest of this former resistance now support zone after which price will rise again and looking at the speed of the decline from 1.40 i suspect the same speed in the other direction. Watch for surprises to the upside and small corrective waves to the downside.

Tuesday, April 7, 2015

Eur/Usd : Triangle wave B?

I can see a possible triangle for wave B. The alternative has wave A finishing one leg higher as a complex double three and will see wave B finish below 1.0712.

Thursday, March 19, 2015

Eur/Usd : Start of wave B

After yesterdays big rally there's a good chance the euro has bottomed and started a longterm corrective rally.

A new trend does not always start in 5 waves, otherwise corrective waves would always have to start with a double zigzag (5-3-5). In this case a flat (3-3-5) could be at the start of a big wave B.