Saturday, September 12, 2009

Eur/Usd

There's a good chance the eur/usd pair is topping. In the bigger picture ( daily ) a triangle seems to be unfolding.



Looking closer to wave C (of the wave B triangle) we can see that the triple three combination, WXYXZ, is probably complete. Inside wave Z, wave Y is at 100% FIB extension, which is a casual target for double three combinations. Yes, a double three inside a triple three, just to keep things simple.

Saturday, August 22, 2009

Eur/Usd Daily

I'm looking for 1 more high to finish the last leg in the ending diagonal wave C. Another possibility is that wave 5 is allready finished and the leg down from the top is a wave 1 with and expanded wave 2 correction, if this is the case, no new high should be made and a new downtrend will start soon.

Monday, August 10, 2009

Gold 4 Hours

Gold has rejected the 61.8% first now the last fibonacci at 76.4 has been rejected also. I am looking for a break of the rising trendline first and then i'm expecting a break of the previous low ( red line ).

Wednesday, July 8, 2009

Gold

Gold is playing out like expected. I'm looking for one more low before we go back up a bit.


Thursday, July 2, 2009

Saturday, June 27, 2009

Gold 2 hours

Looks like gold is going lower 1 more time for a wave 5. There was a breakout of the trendline but price is now back under that TL.

Saturday, June 13, 2009

USD/JPY 1 Hour

Here's a close up of the wave D of the bigger triangle. Looks like price is in a small wave 4 ( of C ) triangle. There is a possibility that wave D is complete allready, instead of counting it as an ABC, I would count it as a WXY, where the latest high (indicated on the chart below as wave 3) would be the end of wave D. In other words, this pair is topping with a good possibility of 1 more high. After this "top" price should delcine one more time (wave E) to finish the big triangle.

Sunday, June 7, 2009

Gold 4 hours

Late last week we broke through the rising trendline. I'm looking for a retest of the trendline early this week, followed by a decline in price for the second half of the week. This could be the start of a big decline, it could go to test the 864 low pretty fast.

Friday, May 29, 2009

USD/JPY

If the triangle scenario holds, this is wave D in the making. Wave Y is 2 times the size of wave W. There's also a nice fib extension after the wave A top, where wave c = 1.618 * wave a (but wave c could possibly not be finished yet).

Wednesday, May 27, 2009

Gold 4 hours

Here's a possibility for gold. Confidence is not very high because of the small wave X.



EDIT :

It's possible that wave c of Y is not yet finished and one more high is required like illustrated in the chart below.